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奎德所说的政策分析的过程是怎样的?

问答题
2022-01-03 06:46
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正确答案

奎德认为,无论问题属于何种性质,政策分析过程都要包括以下这五个基本阶段:
总体概述:即试图阐明目标,解释有关问题和限定问题范围。
广泛探索:在他看来,这个阶段的任务是搜集作为分析依据的材料,找出它们之间的相互关系以及寻找新的备选方案。
多方比较:根据可能产生的效果,即每个方案可能涉及的成本,效益及其他后果,依据不同标准对各个方案进行比较并列出优劣顺序。
说明解释:依照实际和现实的考虑对各种模型所展示的结果加以说明。
测试检验:在奎德看来,从某种意义上说,对于决策者是否根据分析结果作出了正确决策这一点是永远无法进行检验的,因为总会出现一些决策者所无力左右的情况,但是他仍然认为根据一种或若干种模型显示的结果,尤其是在形势稳定时,我们确实可以进行一些检验工作。


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